世界银行：2024年10月大宗商品市场展望报告（英文版）

Commodity prices are expected to decrease by 5 percent in 2025 and 2 percent in 2026, after softening 3 percent this year. This would lead aggregate commodity prices to their lowest levels since 2020. The projected declines are led by oil prices but tempered by price increases for natural gas and a stable outlook for metals and agricultural raw materials. The Brent crude oil price is projected to average $80/bbl in 2024, before slipping to $73/bbl in 2025 and $72/bbl in 2026. Thus, from t