国际货币基金组织:2024出去干?干旱对脆弱和受冲突影响国家的长期宏观经济影响报告(英文版).pdf |
下载文档 |
资源简介
Using a comprehensive drought measure and a panel autoregressive distributed lag model, the paper finds that worsening drought conditions can result in long-term scarring of real GDP per capita growth and affect long-term price stability in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS), more so than in other countries, leaving them further behind. Lower crop productivity and slower investment are key channels through which drought impacts economic growth in FCS. In a high emissions scenario, dro
本文档仅能预览20页