牛津经济研究院&国际商会：2024年WTO解体对发展中经济体的影响研究报告（英文版）

Scenario definition A number of scenarios could be envisaged that would result in the abandonment of the rules-based multilateral trading system and WTO dissolution. All would entail negative repercussions for global trade, but the level of severity varies considerably depending on the specific assumptions employed. For example, a severe but plausible scenario could involve a global trade war resulting in policy-driven geoeconomic fragmentation; at the opposite end of the spectrum, a less ext