Rand兰德：2025年理解升级-政策行为升级风险评估框架报告（英文版）

This report documents research and analysis conducted as part of a project entitled Managing Escalation for Strategic Advantage, sponsored by U.S. Army-Pacific (USARPAC) and the U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command (SMDC). The purpose of the project was to present an analysis of theoretical, historical, and competitor perspectives on the issue of escalation in crisis or war, leading to the development of a framework to assess the escalatory risk of specific U.S. national policy actions