拉丁美洲经济委员会：2024年美国-拉丁美洲和加勒比贸易发展报告（英文版）

The value of global trade declined in 2023, mostly driven by reduced demand in developed nations, trade downturns in regions like East Asia and Latin America, and lower commodity prices (UNCTAD, 2024). The global trade outlook for 2024 is much more optimistic as inflationary pressures continue easing and global GDP growth forecasts remain at around 3%; however, this is likely to be offset by other factors such as persistent geopolitical tensions, rising shipping costs, and high levels of inde