联合国贸发会议：2025年贸易与发展展望报告：压力之下：不确定性重塑全球经济前景（英文版）

Despite a slightly stronger-than-expected growth performance of 2.8 per cent in 2024, the global economy is set to slow down in 2025. UNCTAD estimates that the world gross product will expand by only 2.3 per cent in 2025, below the threshold of 2.5 per cent – a marker of a global recessionary phase. This is a significant deceleration compared to the average annual growth rates registered in the pre-pandemic period, which itself was a period of subdued growth globally (figure 1).