J.P.Morgan摩根大通：全球经济研究—2024年全球数据观察报告（英文版）

When asked what could go wrong with a macroeconomic forecast, the appropriate answer is always “anything and everything.” Our narrative foresees resilient US and global expansions in which growth downshifts to a trend-like pace amid a broadening regional and sectoral base. Meanwhile we expect core inflation to remain sticky above central bank targets. The space for central bank easing has thus been anticipated to be limited. Recent releases challenge each of these views. The most import