世界银行：超越总量：长期增长建模的特定行业框架（英文版）

This paper develops a bottom-up, sector-specific approach to modeling potential output that overcomes limitations of traditional top-down estimates for long-term projections and policy analysis. The model disaggregates total-factor productivity (TFP) growth into within-sector productivity effects and between-sector reallocations. Such endogenous between effects capture structural transformation, notably the shift from low-productivity sectors like agriculture to higher-productivity industrial