Rand兰德：2025年人工智能引发的人类灭绝风险：三大场景分析报告（英文版）

The capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) have accelerated to the point at which some experts are advocating that it be taken seriously as a credible threat to human existence. In this report, RAND researchers examined and seriously considered the threat of human extinction posed by artificial intelligence (AI). They used an exploratory scenario-based analysis to evaluate AI's ability to create an extinction threat with three technologies: nuclear weapons, pathogens, and geoenginee