国际清算银行：生成性人工智能的兴起：对美国劳动力市场的暴露、替代和不平等效应进行建模（英文版）

How exposed is the labour market to ever-advancing Al capabilities, to what extentdoes this substitute human labour, and how will it affect inequality? We address thesequestions in a simulation of 7ll US occupations classified by the importance and level ofcognitive skills. We base our simulations on the notion that Al can only perform skills thatare within its capabilities and involve computer interaction. At low AI capabilities, 7% ofskills are exposed to Al uniformly across the wage spectr