IEF：2024年交通和移动能源需求展望报告（英文版）

decades, with estimates ranging between approximately 50 to 70 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (mboe/d) by 2050. This paradigm shift will be predominantly driven by three interrelated factors: demographic expansion, urbanization induced by economic development, and growth in tourism dynamics. • The gap in transportation demand forecasts between the IEA, EIA, and OPEC is widening from approximately 8 mboe/d in 2023 to 19 mboe/d by 2050. This latter divergence is equivalent to th