Rand兰德：2025年人工通用智能的五大国家安全难题报告（英文版）

First, AGI might enable a significant first-mover advantage via the sudden emergence of a decisive wonder weapon: for example, a capability so proficient at identifying and exploiting vulnerabilities in enemy cyberdefenses that it provides what might be called a splendid first cyber strike that completely disables a retaliatory cyberstrike. Such a first-mover advantage could disrupt the military balance of power in key theaters, create a host of proliferation risks, and accelerate techno