Rand兰德：2025年即使是超级智能计算机也做不到的事情-识别通用人工智能基本限制的初步框架报告（英文版）

Many commentators anticipate that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will have an unprecedented geopolitical impact because of its expected ability to invent new technologies and radically improve existing ones. Preeminent AI expert Stuart Russell went so far as to compare AGI with “the genie in the lamp, or the sorcerer’s apprentice, or King Midas” (Russell, 2014). AGI may indeed prove capable of inventing technologies and performing tasks that we cannot even imagine at present. But contr