彼得森经济研究所：2025年随着美国人口增长放缓，我们需要重新设定对经济数据的预期报告（英文版）

US population growth has slowed sharply in the past 18 months, as the immigration surge of the early 2020s has ended and the population continues to age. Fewer jobs are needed to keep up with the growth of the labor force, and growth rates of output and consumption will fall even if per capita output and consumption hold steady. The total US population is growing at an annualized rate of 0.5 percent, down from 1 percent in late 2023. I estimate the breakeven rate of monthly payroll growth in