世界基准联盟（WBA）：2025年巴西在十字路口：重新思考Petrobras油气扩张报告（英文版）

Petrobras’ new oil production is economically unviable in a 1.5°C world. Globally, oil and gas demand in a 1.5°C scenario can be entirely met by fields already in production, meaning that any Brazilian expansion would have to be offset by closures elsewhere. Petrobras’s highest-cost projects can turn a profit only if governments worldwide do nothing to accelerate the transition to clean energy. This scenario is consistent with 2.4°C warming or more, breaching the Paris Agreement and bringing inc