欧盟委员会：2025年春季欧洲经济预测报告（英文版）

This Spring Forecast projects real GDP growth in 2025 at 1.1% in the EU and 0.9% in the euro area– broadly the same rates attained in 2024. This represents a considerable downgrade compared to the Autumn 2024 Forecast (AF24), largely due to the impact of increased tariffs and the heightened uncertainty caused by the recent abrupt changes in US trade policy and the unpredictability of the tariffs’ final configuration. Despite these challenges, EU growth is expected to rise to 1.5% in 2026, sup