国际航空运输协会（IATA）：2025年第一季度全球航空运输业状况分析报告（英文版）

Global GDP has been unusually stable and holding just above 3% since 2023. Now the downside risks have come to the fore with the imposition of a universal tariffs on merchandise trade by the US government, coupled with higher tariff rates on selected countries and goods, as well as the various countermeasures taken by targeted US trade partners. We now expect global GDP to slow by half a percentage point to 2.5% in 2025, and US GDP to lose a full percentage point to 1.5%. This scenario is not