Rand兰德：2024年预测未来患有痴呆症和功能障碍的人口及其对正式长期护理能力的影响报告（英文版）

This dissertation starts with the development and validation of the Taiwan Future Elderly Model (TFEM), the first microsimulation model for aging and health in Taiwan. Adapted from the US Future Elderly Model framework and utilizing Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging data, TFEM performs best for hearing loss, activities of daily living limitations, and dementia. In the final chapter, I apply TFEM to project the future Taiwanese population with dementia and/or care needs, along with associated